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The current Western Disturbance is expected to intensify during the afternoon, bringing heavy snowfall to the higher reaches of North Kashmir, higher reaches of Ganderbal district, the Sonamarg-Pahalgam axis, and the Zojila-Drass-Minimarg axis.

There is a 60% chance that plains of north Kashmir may as well experience good snow accumulations. Some impact is also possible for parts of central Kashmir (45% chance), particularly Ganderbal district (50% chance), and a few parts of south Kashmir (25% chance).

The Western Disturbance is expected to withdraw from late night today.

Following its departure, mostly dry conditions are expected on the 3rd and 4th of January, although isolated brief spells of precipitation cannot be entirely ruled out, especially in higher-altitude areas.

The rough map visualization indicates:

  • Red (95% chance): High impact areas with the potential for 12+ inches of snowfall.
  • Yellow (65% chance): Moderate snowfall possible.
  • Teal (40% chance): Light to moderate rain or snow showers.
  • Green (20% chance): Light precipitation possible.
  • White (less than 5% chance): Little to no precipitation expected.

Forecast Insights: Kashmir Weather